Boston Realtor Mike Mahoney
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National Real Estate Market Update

September 4th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

National Snapshot: What’s Ahead for Real Estate

The U.S. unemployment rate is at a 50-year low, and consumer confidence remains high. In fact, the University of Michigan’s latest Surveys of Consumers found that Americans have their most positive personal finance outlook since 2003.1

However, if you follow national news, you’ve probably heard speculation that we could be headed toward a recession. Global trade tensions and a slow down in the GDP growth rate has sparked volatility in the stock market, leading to economic uncertainty.

Given these differing signals, you may be wondering: How has the U.S. housing market been impacted? Where is it headed? And more importantly … what does it mean for me?

Mortgage Rates Are Near Historic Lows

In August, Freddie Mac reported that the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate hit its lowest level since November 2016, falling to 3.6%, down a full percentage point from a year earlier.Variable mortgage rates also fell when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at the end of July for the first time since 2008.3

This was welcome news for many in the real estate industry. Freddie Mac predicts that low interest rates and a robust job market will help the housing market remain strong despite the threat of recession.

“There is a tug of war in the financial markets between weaker business sentiment and consumer sentiment,” said Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “Business sentiment is declining on negative trade and manufacturing headlines, but consumer sentiment remains buoyed by a strong labor market and low rates that will continue to drive home sales into the fall.”2

See the report on mortgage rates from last week by Freddie Mac

What does it mean for you?

If you’re looking to buy a home, now is a great time to lock in a low mortgage rate. It will shrink your monthly payment and could save you a bundle over the long term. Or if you plan to stay in your current home for a while, consider whether it makes sense to refinance your mortgage at today’s lower rates.

If you would like a referral to a qualified mortgage partner for a  referral, please reach out.

 

 

Prices Continue to Rise at a Modest Pace

According to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices, housing prices continue to rise. But the rate at which prices are rising is slowing down. For May 2019, the National Home Price Index rose by 3.4%, down from 3.5% the previous month.4

Of course, national averages often don’t present the whole picture. Some markets have seen modest declines, while other areas are witnessing double-digit increases. The key differentiating factor in most cases? Housing affordability.5

Since 2012, home prices have increased at about three times the pace of wages, according to National Association of Realtors chief economist Lawrence Yun.6

“Housing unaffordability will hinder sales irrespective of the local job market conditions,” said Yun. “This is evident in the very expensive markets as home prices are either topping off or slightly falling.”5

But what about all this talk of a recession? Will we see housing values plummet like they did in 2008? Economists say no.

If we look at history, the real estate crash experienced during the Great Recession isn’t typical.

The recent Housing and Mortgage Market Review report from Arch Mortgage Insurance provides data to support this. “What we found is that the next recession is likely to be far less severe on the housing market than the last one. It’s not that this time is different; it’s that last time was really different from historic norms.”6

“A large decline in national home prices is unlikely in the next recession,” Arch economists write. “A persistent housing shortage should help cushion home price declines.”6

Real estate is a local business and you need to look at the picture being painted locally. If you are considering a purchase or sale, you will want to drill down to the local market level or even perhaps the neighborhood. National news is one thing, but things vary from neighborhood to neighborhood.

 

What does it mean for you?

If you have the ability and desire to buy a home now, don’t let the threat of a recession hold you in limbo. The market is cyclical, and it will experience ups and downs. But over the long term, real estate has consistently proven to be a good investment.

Now is is amazing time to purchase a home. Rents are at record highs. There are plenty of options in the market where you could work with a good Realtor to negotiate a purchase with a very small down payment and possibly a closing cost credit which would allow you to make a purchase with same amount of money it would take to sign a lease on a rental property.

 

 

 

Starter Inventory Remains Tight While Luxury Market Softens

As we’ve seen in the past, it’s become a tale of two sectors.

The low-end of the market remains highly competitive as buyers compete for affordable housing. A lack of new construction during the last recession led to an undersupply of starter homes. This trend continues—despite growing demand—due to a lack of skilled workers, rising land and material costs, and a slow permitting process in many areas.7

The result? There’s a shortage of homes for sale that Americans can actually afford to buy.

The luxury market, on the other hand, has softened. Economic uncertainty, changes to tax laws, and rising prices have slowed demand. Plus, to recoup their higher costs, builders flocked to this segment—causing an overabundance of supply in some areas.

“If you’re selling an entry level home, you’re probably still looking at a pretty competitive market in most places,” according to Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. “But if you’re selling a more expensive home you probably have to adjust your expectations.”8

 

What does it mean for you?

Move-up buyers, you’re in luck! If you’re ready to trade in your starter home for something more luxurious, you may get the best of both sectors. We’re still witnessing strong demand for entry-level homes, giving sellers the upper hand. At the same time, buyers of high-end homes are finding a greater selection (and more negotiating power) than they’ve had in years.

 

Investors Are Buying Homes at Record Levels

There’s one group that hasn’t been slowed down by lack of affordability or economic uncertainty: investors.

According to CoreLogic, investors are purchasing homes at a record pace. In 2018, the share of U.S. homes bought by investors reached 11.3%—the highest level since the company began tracking nearly 20 years ago.9

Notably, this increased activity wasn’t led by institutional investors, but instead by small and individual investors focused on the starter-home segment.Declining interest rates and an uncertain stock market has led investors to flock to real estate as they seek out greater stability and higher returns.

“With declining mortgage rates … they’re searching for a better return for their money,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.10

 

What does it mean for you?

If you’re looking for a way to “recession proof” your money, you might want to consider investing in real estate. People will always need a place to live, and (unlike the stock market) a rental property can provide a steady source of cash flow during uncertain economic times.

 

We Are Here to Guide You

While national real estate numbers can provide a “big picture” outlook, real estate is local. As local market experts, we can guide you through the ins and outs of our market and the issues most likely to impact sales and home values in your particular neighborhood.

If you have specific questions or would like more information about how market changes could affect you, contact us to schedule a free consultation. We’re here to help you navigate this shifting real estate landscape.

 

 

Sources:

  1. University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers – http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/
  2. Freddie Mac – https://freddiemac.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/mortgage-rates-drop-significantly?_ga=2.29332539.689041222.1565464527-928629548.1565464527
  3. CNN – https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/31/business/fed-rate-cut-july-meeting/index.html
  4. S&P Dow Jones Indices – https://us.spindices.com/documents/indexnews/announcements/20190730-965771/965771_cshomeprice-release-0730.pdf?force_download=true
  5. National Association of Realtors – https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/metro-home-prices-increase-in-91-of-metro-areas-in-second-quarter-of-2019
  6. Forbes – https://www.forbes.com/sites/alyyale/2019/04/18/with-a-recession-looming-is-now-the-time-to-sell-your-home/#7d3a21665bce
  7. CNN – https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/09/economy/mortgages-home-buyers/index.html
  8. Forbes – https://www.forbes.com/sites/carolinefeeney/2019/07/01/halfway-into-2019-how-is-the-housing-market-holding-up/#7e656e3ec5d8
  9. CoreLogic – https://www.corelogic.com/blog/2019/06/special-report-investor-home-buying.aspx
  10. Fox Business – https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/investors-snapping-up-homes-at-record-levels

July Closed Home Sales Report for Greater Boston

August 29th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

July Closed Home Sales Report for Greater Boston

The Massachusetts Association of Realtors released their closed sales report for July 2019.

 

“In July, the U.S. economic expansion that began in June 2009 became the Closed Sales
longest in the nation’s history, marking 121 straight months of gross domestic
product growth and surpassing the 120-month expansion from 1991 to 2001.
The average rate of growth during this expansion has been a milder 2.3 percent
per year compared to 3.6 percent during the 1990s. Although the economy
should continue to perform well for the rest of 2019, most economists see a mild
recession on the horizon.” – Massachusetts Association of Realtors July 2019

New Listings were down 7.0 percent for single-family homes and 1.0 percent for
condominium properties. Closed Sales decreased 2.3 percent for single-family
homes and 7.8 percent for condominium properties.

“We see the cooldown flattening or even reversing course in the coming months and expect the housing market to continue coming into balance. In the meantime, buyers are likely claiming some ground from what has been seller’s territory over the past few years. If mortgage rates stay low, wages continue to grow, and inventory picks up, we can expect the U.S. housing market to further stabilize throughout the remainder of the year.” Ralph McLaughlin, Deputy Chief Economist for CoreLogic

Greater Boston Real Estate Report from Massachusetts Association of Realtors

 

National Mortgage Rates Down for End of the Week

August 26th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

Recent Mortgage Rates According to Freddie Mac

Excerpt from National Association of Realtors on 22 August 2019

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 3.55% this week, the lowest average since November 2016, Freddie Mac reports. The lower mortgage rates are boding well for the housing market.

“The drop in mortgage rates continues to stimulate the real estate market and the economy,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “Home purchase demand is up five percent from a year ago and has noticeably strengthened since the early summer months, while refinances surged to their highest share in three and a half years.”

30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.55%, with an average 0.5 point, dropping from last week’s 3.60% average. Last year at this time, 30-year rates averaged 4.51%.
15-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 3.03%, with an average 0.5 point, falling from last week’s 3.07% average. A year ago, 15-year rates averaged 3.98%.
5-year hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages: averaged 3.32%, with an average 0.3 point, falling from last week’s 3.35% average. A year ago, 5-year ARMs averaged 3.82%.

Low Rates Have Made 8.2 Million Mortgages “Refi Eligible”

August 5th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

Low Rates Have Made 8.2 Million Mortgages “Refi Eligible”

Low mortgage rates have made 8.2 million U.S. mortgages “refi eligible,” meaning borrowers would save money by getting a new home loan even with the application and funding costs, according to Black Knight.

The average U.S. rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage was 3.75%, last week, matching the prior week, according to Freddie Mac . A year ago, the rate was 4.60%.

“Mortgage rates have continued to decline,” Fannie Mae said in its July forecast. “The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 3.80% in June, down from 4.07% in May and the seventh straight month of decline.”

If you have a mortgage and you plan to stay in your property, you really need to shop it to see if you can save some money. Rates are almost a full point lower from where they were a year ago.

 

Record-Setting Sale Was No Fluke

July 17th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

Record-Setting $119.75M Sale of L.A.’s Famed Spelling Manor

Record-Setting Sale Was No Fluke. Real estate experts in LA County say there are seven homes listed over 100mm .

 

Want to see some of the most expensive homes in Massachusetts?

 

 

The 120mm Question

What’s bigger than a football field, smaller than Hearst Castle, has a bowling alley and an entire floor of closets? Aaron and Candy Spelling’s 56,500-square-foot (5,250 m2) mansion in Holmby Hills. Sprawled across 6 acres (2.4 ha) on what once was the Bing Crosby estate, the house dwarfs the sizable mansions on the block and looms large over tranquil Holmby Park near Wilshire Boulevard

Courtesy of Realtor.com

The recent sale of the legendary, 56,500-square-foot megamansion formerly known as the Spelling Manor in Holmby Hills, CA, for $119.75 million was the priciest residential real estate deal in the history of Los Angeles County.

Which is saying an awful lot in an area where nine-digit listing prices have become the new normal for high-end real estate. There are currently seven homes in the county on the market priced over $100 million.

The 123-room, 14-bedroom, 27-bathroom chateau now simply known as The Manor is one of the largest single-family homes in the U.S., topping the White House by about 1,500 square feet. TV mogul Aaron Spelling built it for his wife, Candy, in 1991.

Lucy in the Sky with Cookies – Pill Hill Cookie Entrepreneur

July 3rd, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

Lucy in the Sky with Cookies:Home of the The Pill Hill Cookie Entrepreneur

DUXBURY, MA — Here is a sweet story. An amazing home just hit the market in Duxbury on “Pill Hill”  on Realtor.com, The property  is the former home of Ruth Wakefield. Ms. Wakefield is the inventor  of The Toll House chocolate chip cookie.

Ruth Graves was born on June 17, 1903, in East Walpole, Mass., the daughter of Fred Graves and the former Helen Vest Jones.

She and her husband opened a dining establishment named Toll House Inn on Bedford Street in Whitman.
It was at this location where Ruth Graves invented the Toll House Cookie.

Ruth Graves sold the rights to her cookie recipe to Nestle. Wait until you see the house she and her husband retired to.   

59 Pill Hill Lane, Duxbury, MA 02332 (MLS # 72525493)

(all data current as of 11/19/2019)
Price $8,900,000
Beds 5
Baths 4 full, 2 half
Home size 8,600 sq ft
Lot Size 3.05 ac
Experience the ultimate in panoramic water views and privacy at this immaculate Gambrel Cape home. Originally built as the Joshua Thomas House in 1747 and previously owned by Ruth Wakefield when she invented the Chocolate Chip Cookie, this recently expanded, 5+ bedroom estate is set on more than three acres and features garage parking for 8 cars, koi pond, osprey's nest, wetland nature trail, tidal ocean front dock, and heated outdoor pool and spa. Enjoy breathtaking water views from almost every window. The dining room and study are distinguished by hand-hewn, coffered ceiling beams, pine flooring and custom fielded fireplaces that date back to the original structure. The sprawling Great Room and chef's kitchen are designed for the consummate entertainer. The second floor comprises a spacious media room with adjoining, outdoor jacuzzi, and five bedrooms, including a master bedroom and bath with patterned verdi marble and sauna.

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The property listing data and information set forth herein were provided to MLS Property Information Network, Inc. from third party sources, including sellers, lessors and public records, and were compiled by MLS Property Information Network, Inc. The property listing data and information are for the personal, non commercial use of consumers having a good faith interest in purchasing or leasing listed properties of the type displayed to them and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties which such consumers may have a good faith interest in purchasing or leasing. MLS Property Information Network, Inc. and its subscribers disclaim any and all representations and warranties as to the accuracy of the property listing data and information set forth herein.

Listing provided by The Bushari Team Compass, Compass

(view all details for MLS #72525493)

 

May 2019 Closed Residential Real Estate Sales Massachusetts Association Realtors

July 1st, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

May 2019 Closed Residential Real Estate Sales Massachusetts Association Realtors

WALTHAM, Mass. – June 26, 2019 – The Massachusetts Association of Realtors® (MAR) reported today that median price for both single-family homes and condominiums was over $400,000 in May, with condominiums hitting an all-time high at $413,000. Despite these high median prices, closed sales for single-family homes and condominiums increased year-over-year from May of 2018. Last month marked the lowest number of single-family homes for sale in the month of May since MAR began reporting the data in 2004. However, this is the fifth month in a row of year-over year condominium inventory increases.  Download the full Massachusetts Association of Realtors Closed Sales Report

 

 

 

Emerging Buyer’s Market Lifts Home Sales in May

June 24th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

Emerging Buyer’s Market Lifts Home Sales in May

May Home Sales Up According to National Association of Realtors

For the first time in two months, existing-home sales rose in May as consumers rushed to take advantage of lower mortgage rates and greater inventory. Total existing-home sales—completed transactions including single-family homes, townhomes, condos, and co-ops—jumped 2.5% month over month in May, reaching a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.34 million, the National Association of REALTORS® reported Friday. All four major regions of the U.S. saw an increase in sales last month, led by the Northeast.

“The purchasing power to buy a home has been bolstered by falling mortgage rates, and buyers are responding,” says NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. However, total sales are still down 1.1% compared to a year ago. Read the full article on Realtor Magazine

 

 

Norfolk County Real Estate Market Update

June 20th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

Norfolk County Real Estate Market Update

If you want to know where the housing market area is in Norfolk County and how it compares to last year, then this is the report for you.

DRAFT IN PROGRESS

 

Did Ralph Break the Internet?

June 18th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

Free Friday Flicks at the Hatch Shell Boston 2019

Free Friday Flicks is a summertime tradition in Boston, attracting thousands of moviegoers to enjoy family-oriented, feature-length movies under the stars all summer long at DCR’s Hatch Shell in Boston! See more here

 

 

Homes You can Purchase with a Small Deposit

 

 

Looking for a Boston Area Foreclosure Home

 

 

If you want to know more about these opportunities, please schedule a 15-minute conference call with me and we can review homes in options available to you.  Please schedule your conference call here now

Pending Home Sales Up on May 2019

June 18th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

Pending Home Sales Up on May 2019

WALTHAM, Mass. – June 12, 2019 – The Massachusetts Association of Realtors® (MAR) reported today that the number of single-family homes put under agreement in the month of May went up six percent and the number of condominiums put under agreement went up two percent compared to this time last year. This marks 12 straight months of year-over-year increases for single-family homes. The median price for single-family homes put under agreement increased almost four percent to $420,000, while condominiums saw a seven percent increase to $415,000 compared to May of 2018.

MAY 2019 Pending Home Sales

 

 

Looking for a Boston Area Foreclosure Home Homes You can Purchase with a Small Deposit

 

 

If you want to know more about these opportunities, please schedule a 15-minute conference call with me and we can review homes in options available to you.  Please schedule your conference call here now

 

Greater Boston Real Estate Report June 14 2019

June 14th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

 

Mike – How’s The Market
Would you like to know what the residential market is doing in one minute or less. Here is a quick video which highlights the national market trends. Watch Video Here

Martin Richard Park to Open this Weekend

Richard Martin was one of the victims of the Boston Marathon Bombing in 2013. The Martin Family designed a park in honor of their son down at The Children’s Museum. The park opens this Saturday.
Martin Richard Park Grand Opening


Tale of Two Cities and the American Dream
This is a series of posts that will highlight sales of the most expensive and least expensive homes sold in the metro Boston in the last week. See them here

Own your own home for under $2200 month

See the Townhouse Here


Want to Make Your Career in Real Estate Take Off?
I am Looking to Personally Mentor 1 ior 2 New Agents…
Who do you know who has always wanted to learn the residential real estate business but afraid to work on their own. I have two slots open for two mentees to come on board and earn while they learn. See more

 

A Tale of Two Cities

June 13th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

Tale of Two Cities and the American Dream

This is a series of posts that will highlight sales of the most expensive and least expensive homes sold in the metropolitan Boston are in the last week. My focus on homes tends to be along the 95 corridor from Dedham to Wrentham.

The goal of the post is really to show the wide range of available real estate options in the area. If you are thinking of making your first purchase, there are plenty of options to have you stop being part of the landlord’s payroll each week.

Here is this week’s most expensive and least expensive home sold in this area.

Least Expensive Home Sold: 70 Chestnut in Wrentham MA

The least expensive home was a Fannie Mae foreclosure. These are great options for developers and investors. Some of these properties can also turn out to be great buys for 1st time buyers as long as there has not been long term deferred maintenance.

70 Chestnut Street, Wrentham, MA 02093 (MLS # 72477727)

(all data current as of 11/19/2019)
Price $220,000
Beds 4
Baths 2 full, 1 half
Home size 2,778 sq ft
Lot Size 2.00 ac
Unique 4 bed, 2.5 bath Contemporary on 2 wooded acres. Features large rooms, hardwood floors, fireplace, spacious decks, walkout basement and much more. Also, this home surrounds a 13'x13' courtyard, which adds a special view from the interior rooms. Country setting, yet convenience location. Good highway access. Easy show!

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We respect your online privacy and will never spam you. By submitting this form with your telephone number you are consenting for Michael Mahoney to contact you even if your name is on a Federal or State "Do not call List".
The property listing data and information set forth herein were provided to MLS Property Information Network, Inc. from third party sources, including sellers, lessors and public records, and were compiled by MLS Property Information Network, Inc. The property listing data and information are for the personal, non commercial use of consumers having a good faith interest in purchasing or leasing listed properties of the type displayed to them and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties which such consumers may have a good faith interest in purchasing or leasing. MLS Property Information Network, Inc. and its subscribers disclaim any and all representations and warranties as to the accuracy of the property listing data and information set forth herein.

Listing provided by Tom Piantadosi, RE/MAX Town & Country

(view all details for MLS #72477727)

Most Expensive Home Sold: 78 Village Avenue in Dedham MA

This home was a classic New England Greek Revival style home.

78 Village Avenue, Dedham, MA 02026 (MLS # 72458972)

(all data current as of 11/19/2019)
Price $1,340,000
Beds 5
Baths 2 full, 1 half
Home size 3,403 sq ft
Lot Size 14,652 sqft
Precinct 1! The circa 1845 Greek Revival sits majestically two blocks from Dedham Square. The covered front door opens to a generous high ceiling hallway with detailed bay window. The original front parlor with fireplace, now a dining room, has floor to ceiling windows, and the columned divider leads to the living room with fireplace and french doors to yard. Progress from the family room with a large bay window, fireplace and bookcases into the updated expansive country kitchen with adjoining butler's pantry and generous mudroom.The second floor is accessed by front and rear stairs, and is comprised of a master suite and bath, lots of linen storage, a family bath, three additional bedrooms, and an office/exercise area. The fifth bedroom, bonus room and storage room fill the third floor. The house wraps around an extensive outdoor living area with deck, patio, and enclosed ornamental garden. The two-story barn is currently used as a garage and workshop; it could also be a home office.

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We respect your online privacy and will never spam you. By submitting this form with your telephone number you are consenting for Michael Mahoney to contact you even if your name is on a Federal or State "Do not call List".
The property listing data and information set forth herein were provided to MLS Property Information Network, Inc. from third party sources, including sellers, lessors and public records, and were compiled by MLS Property Information Network, Inc. The property listing data and information are for the personal, non commercial use of consumers having a good faith interest in purchasing or leasing listed properties of the type displayed to them and may not be used for any purpose other than to identify prospective properties which such consumers may have a good faith interest in purchasing or leasing. MLS Property Information Network, Inc. and its subscribers disclaim any and all representations and warranties as to the accuracy of the property listing data and information set forth herein.

Listing provided by Linda Dwinell Logan, Gibson Sotheby's International Realty

(view all details for MLS #72458972)

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Martins Park Opening

June 13th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

Martins Park Opening

Richard Martin was one of the victims of the Boston Marathon Bombing in 2013.  The Martin Family designed a park in honor of their son down at The Children’s Museum. The park opens this Saturday.

Live Webcam View of Martin’s Park

Please Join Mayor Martin J. Walsh, Governor Charlie Baker, and the Richard Family for the grand opening of Martin’s Park at the Smith Family Waterfront.

Join us for the opening of Martin’s Park, a beautiful new, inclusive park and playspace providing outdoor enjoyment for generations of Boston’s children, families, and visitors.

The park is located on the South Boston Waterfront, next to the Children’s Museum.

See the event on Boston Central

The park is located in front of the Boston Children’s Museum.

Interview with Richard Martin’s Father

 

 

 

 

May 2019 Housing Minute

June 12th, 2019 by Michael Mahoney

May 2019 Housing Minute

Pending and existing home sales declined slightly in April, while inventory continues to increase. Please watch this video which will help identify some of the national real estate market trends.

 

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This is the second property I have sold in Weymouth MA with Mike as my broker. He research the area and give you all the information you need to decide what to list your property for, so it sells timely. He also helps review and negotiate all offers and is... (more)

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We had been trying to sell our condo for well over a year and decided to give Mike a shot at it as he came well recommended. It was not easy for him but he persisted and had success. Even though it wasn't a big sale or profit for him, he acted as though it... (more)

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